Which CS2 case is the most profitable?

The best ROI right now is CS:GO Weapon Case 3 at 64.2%: opening costs $14, the average drop is worth $8.98. On average no case pays off: every case has ROI below 100%.

What is the chance to get a knife or gloves from a case?

0.26%, roughly one opening in 385: that is the rare special item chance Valve published. Covert drops at 0.64%, Classified at 3.2%, Restricted at 15.98%, Mil-Spec at 79.92%.

How much does it cost to open a CS2 case?

The case price plus a $2.49 key: only Valve sells keys and they cannot be resold. The cheapest to open right now is Kilowatt Case at $2.58.

What does case ROI mean?

The average value of the dropped item relative to the opening cost. ROI 60% means 60 cents back per dollar on average if you sell every drop without fees; with the Steam fee, less.

How often are the numbers updated?

Every hour: Steam and trusted marketplace prices and each case’s ROI are recalculated. The monthly ROI chart is on the case page.

Tool

CS2 case ROI

How much opening each case returns on average: cost with the key, average drop value, ROI and break-even chance. Odds as published by Valve, wear from the skin’s Float range, prices updated every hour.

Best ROI64.2%CS:GO Weapon Case 3

Average ROI43.1%across 41 cases

Breaks even most often19.6%CS:GO Weapon Case 2 Cheapest$2.58Kilowatt Case

The case is priced at the second-cheapest trusted marketplace listing, the drop at the cheapest. The $2.49 key is sold only in the Steam store.

					Most valuable drop
CS:GO Weapon Case 32013	$14case $11	$8.98when sold $8.53	64.2%	11.5%1 in 9	Karambit \| Fade$1,558, 1 in 25,000
eSports 2013 Winter Case2014	$13case $10	$8.08when sold $7.68	62.5%	9.0%1 in 11	Karambit \| Fade$1,558, 1 in 25,000
Glove Case2016	$11case $8.83	$6.53when sold $6.20	57.7%	5.7%1 in 18	Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze$3,848, 1 in 9,231
Operation Vanguard Weapon Case2014	$6.44case $3.95	$3.67when sold $3.49	57.1%	10.5%1 in 10	Karambit \| Fade$1,558, 1 in 25,000
CS:GO Weapon Case 22013	$20case $18	$11when sold $10	53.9%	19.6%1 in 5	Karambit \| Fade$1,558, 1 in 25,000
Operation Hydra Case2017	$27case $25	$14when sold $14	52.5%	7.1%1 in 14	Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze$3,848, 1 in 9,231
Operation Wildfire Case2016	$4.96case $2.47	$2.56when sold $2.43	51.6%	6.8%1 in 15	Bowie Knife \| Fade$180, 1 in 5,000
Gamma Case2016	$5.13case $2.64	$2.58when sold $2.45	50.3%	4.4%1 in 23	Karambit \| Gamma Doppler$1,454, 1 in 11,538
eSports 2014 Summer Case2014	$13case $10	$6.33when sold $6.01	49.5%	5.5%1 in 18	Karambit \| Fade$1,558, 1 in 25,000
Gamma 2 Case2016	$5.09case $2.60	$2.45when sold $2.33	48.2%	4.5%1 in 22	Karambit \| Gamma Doppler$1,454, 1 in 11,538
Chroma 2 Case2015	$5.76case $3.27	$2.73when sold $2.60	47.5%	4.9%1 in 20	Karambit \| Doppler$1,120, 1 in 11,538
Operation Phoenix Weapon Case2014	$5.43case $2.94	$2.58when sold $2.45	47.5%	4.6%1 in 22	Karambit \| Fade$1,558, 1 in 25,000
Prisma Case2019	$3.50case $1.01	$1.66when sold $1.58	47.5%	6.8%1 in 15	Talon Knife \| Doppler$717, 1 in 10,769
Horizon Case2018	$3.85case $1.36	$1.82when sold $1.73	47.2%	8.5%1 in 12	Talon Knife \| Fade$710, 1 in 20,000
Operation Broken Fang Case2020	$7.32case $4.83	$3.44when sold $3.27	47.0%	9.4%1 in 11	Sport Gloves \| Nocts$539, 1 in 9,231
Shadow Case2015	$3.90case $1.41	$1.83when sold $1.74	47.0%	7.6%1 in 13	Shadow Daggers \| Fade$135, 1 in 5,000
Chroma Case2015	$6.68case $4.19	$3.06when sold $2.91	45.8%	4.9%1 in 21	Karambit \| Doppler$1,120, 1 in 11,538
Huntsman Weapon Case2014	$9.15case $6.66	$4.19when sold $3.98	45.8%	5.1%1 in 20	AK-47 \| Vulcan$219, 1 in 313
Falchion Case2015	$3.84case $1.35	$1.72when sold $1.63	44.8%	7.6%1 in 13	Falchion Knife \| Fade$193, 1 in 5,000
Operation Breakout Weapon Case2014	$9.27case $6.78	$4.13when sold $3.93	44.6%	4.2%1 in 24	Butterfly Knife \| Fade$1,958, 1 in 5,000
Spectrum Case2017	$5.54case $3.05	$2.45when sold $2.33	44.3%	4.8%1 in 21	Butterfly Knife \| Doppler$1,903, 1 in 11,538
Shattered Web Case2019	$6.19case $3.70	$2.72when sold $2.59	44.0%	6.5%1 in 15	Skeleton Knife \| Fade$441, 1 in 20,000
Chroma 3 Case2016	$5.50case $3.01	$2.41when sold $2.29	43.9%	4.3%1 in 23	Karambit \| Doppler$1,120, 1 in 11,538
Winter Offensive Weapon Case2013	$11case $8.63	$4.87when sold $4.63	43.8%	5.7%1 in 18	Karambit \| Fade$1,558, 1 in 25,000
Operation Riptide Case2021	$9.50case $7.01	$4.00when sold $3.80	42.1%	6.6%1 in 15	Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler$1,529, 1 in 11,538
Prisma 2 Case2020	$3.45case $0.96	$1.44when sold $1.37	41.7%	4.5%1 in 22	Talon Knife \| Doppler$717, 1 in 10,769
Snakebite Case2021	$2.80case $0.31	$1.13when sold $1.08	40.5%	7.3%1 in 14	Sport Gloves \| Nocts$539, 1 in 9,231
Gallery Case2024	$3.07case $0.58	$1.24when sold $1.17	40.2%	6.4%1 in 16	Kukri Knife \| Fade$144, 1 in 5,000
Spectrum 2 Case2017	$5.11case $2.62	$2.05when sold $1.95	40.1%	4.7%1 in 21	Butterfly Knife \| Doppler$1,903, 1 in 11,538
CS20 Case2019	$3.23case $0.74	$1.25when sold $1.18	38.6%	4.5%1 in 22	Classic Knife \| Fade$235, 1 in 5,000
Danger Zone Case2018	$3.44case $0.95	$1.33when sold $1.26	38.5%	4.8%1 in 21	Talon Knife \| Fade$710, 1 in 20,000
Dreams & Nightmares Case2021	$3.40case $0.91	$1.25when sold $1.18	36.6%	4.2%1 in 24	Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler$1,529, 1 in 11,538
Fever Case2025	$3.03case $0.54	$0.98when sold $0.93	32.4%	4.2%1 in 24	Skeleton Knife \| Doppler$522, 1 in 10,769
Recoil Case2022	$2.69case $0.20	$0.85when sold $0.80	31.5%	3.9%1 in 26	Sport Gloves \| Nocts$539, 1 in 9,231
Clutch Case2017	$2.89case $0.40	$0.86when sold $0.82	29.9%	3.3%1 in 30	Sport Gloves \| Vice$494, 1 in 9,231
CS:GO Weapon Case2013	$103case $100	$30when sold $28	29.1%	4.9%1 in 21	Karambit \| Fade$1,558, 1 in 25,000
Revolution Case2023	$2.63case $0.14	$0.74when sold $0.71	28.3%	2.4%1 in 43	Sport Gloves \| Vice$494, 1 in 9,231
Fracture Case2020	$2.85case $0.36	$0.79when sold $0.75	27.6%	4.1%1 in 24	Skeleton Knife \| Fade$441, 1 in 20,000
Operation Bravo Case2013	$54case $51	$15when sold $14	27.6%	4.6%1 in 22	Karambit \| Fade$1,558, 1 in 25,000
eSports 2013 Case2014	$43case $41	$12when sold $11	27.1%	3.8%1 in 26	Karambit \| Fade$1,558, 1 in 25,000
Kilowatt Case2024	$2.58case $0.09	$0.67when sold $0.64	26.1%	3.4%1 in 29	Kukri Knife \| Fade$144, 1 in 5,000

Found a mistake or inaccuracy?

FAQ

How we calculate

Rarity odds are the ones Valve published: Mil-Spec 79.92%, Restricted 15.98%, Classified 3.2%, Covert 0.64%, knife or gloves 0.26%. Skins of the same rarity drop with equal chance. StatTrak™ is every tenth item; gloves never have it.
Wear uses the share of drops across the full Float scale (Factory New 3%, Minimal Wear 24%, Field-Tested 33%, Well-Worn 24%, Battle-Scarred 16%), mapped into the skin’s Float range: a Doppler with a 0–0.08 range almost always drops Factory New.
Steam prices: the case is the weekly sales median, the drop is a cautious price — for rare items no higher than the monthly median and no more than $2000, since Steam does not sell higher. Marketplace prices: the case is the second-lowest price among trusted marketplaces, the drop is the lowest. The $2.49 key is sold only by Valve and cannot be resold.
ROI is the average drop value relative to the opening cost (case and key). When you sell, you get less because of the fee — 13% on Steam, about 5% on marketplaces; the amount after the fee is shown as “when sold”.
Break-even chance is the probability that the drop is worth at least the opening cost. The median drop is the price below which half of the openings land: the average rests on rare knives and gloves, and usually you get far less.
Recalculated every hour on fresh prices. A calculation on average prices does not guarantee a result: in the long run opening cases loses money.